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Diversifiable Risk
Diversifiable means that do not put
all your eggs in one basket or place all your money in
one company.
We
have all heard the adage do not
put all your eggs in one basket. Well, this applies to
your portfolio as much as to other aspects of life. If
you place all your money in one company you are
vulnerable to adverse news (e.g. a product failure,
chief executive's resignation, government rule change)
causing a plummet in price. So holding one company's
shares in your portfolio will typically result in a high
standard deviation. However, if you split your fund
between two companies, at anyone time there is a fair
chance that bad news affecting one is offset by good
news affecting the other, so that overall portfolio
returns do not oscillate as much. This principle works
even better if you have three, four or five shares in
your portfolio - standard deviation tends to decrease.
Diversification is a cheap and practical way of reducing
your risk. You are highly recommended to do it.
Correlation
Correlations measures the degree to
which the returns of two assets move together.
Correlation
measures the degree to which the returns of two assets move
together. Correlations are described on a scale that stretches from
-1 to + 1. A perfect positive correlation (+ 1) means that the two
assets move in lock step with one another. So, if TESCO's
share price went up or down by a certain percentage and Sainsbury
always went up or down by the same percentage then TESCO
and Sainsbury would have perfect positive correlation. A correlation
of -1 is perfect negative correlation. This time the movements are
exact opposites. If you had an umbrella company that did well in a
wet year and its share price rose, you might also have an ice cream
company that does badly in a wet year but well in a warm dry year.
So the returns for these companies move in opposite directions,
depending on the weather. If they moved exactly proportionately in
the opposite directions the correlation coefficient would be -1. If
they moved in opposite directions most of the time but not
perfectly, then the correlation coefficient could be say -0.5.
Assets that do not have any common movement at all - if one goes up the
other may either go up or down - show a correlation of O.
Diversification
is going to be most effective with shares that are negatively
correlated. You may have noticed that when the London equity market
is up the equity markets in the US and in Europe are also
(generally) up. This impression is confirmed by the calculation of
correlations which turn out to be around 0.6-0.9 (don't ask about
the maths to figure this out).
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